Kevin Weil (OpenAI CPO) Interview Summary

- Models: Not commoditized but evolving rapidly. Intelligence increasing, costs dropping 10x yearly. GPT-5 will merge GPT and reasoning model series.

- Coding Automation:

  - O1 Preview: ~millionth best programmer

  - O1: ~thousandth best

  - O3 (upcoming): 175th best globally

  - Will surpass humans at programming this year/next, not 2027 as Anthropic suggested

- Model Strengths:

  - GPT-4.5: Better at writing, human-like interaction

  - O1/O3: Better at reasoning, structured problems

  - Large models encode more "subtlety and nuance"

  - AI tutoring for personalized education

  - Robotics as the next frontier

I think this “coding will be automated” is that “the interview(hard) the job(easy) meme” but backwards.

It seems very obvious that an AI will solve all the hardest coding problems first because they’re all documented really well, but fuck if I can get Claude to figure out a basic css layout. In wrestling with Cursor and tailwind now.

We'll know this is coming for realz when they first automate clueless marketroids saying things they don't understand and fire Kevin

You know what, let them do it. I'm ready to retire anyway.

I want to see what happens when somebody looks at the high-rise sand castle that is modern technology and decides that there wasn't enough sand involved.

The Anthropic guy also said one year recently. It sounds like they're feeling pressure from investors. AI bubble deflates in one year.

snakeoil.