Show HN: The Probability Times

by NeroVanbierv on 10/29/2024, 9:05:55 AM with 19 comments

  • by MBaert on 10/31/2024, 8:09:51 AM

    Jokes aside, I feel like this is how journalist work. They need to have news ready for both outcomes

  • by righthand on 10/31/2024, 1:56:34 AM

    An anxiety spiker website.

  • by rexpop on 10/31/2024, 2:32:32 AM

    > Donald Trump Concedes...

    Hm, maybe the prompt is too tightly constrained.

    There is historical precedent for Donald Trump refusing to concede a presidential race, as seen in the 2020 election when he did not formally concede to Joe Biden and instead launched numerous legal challenges, citing unsubstantiated claims of election fraud.

    But I concede that no such outcome is represented in the FiveThirtyEight dataset.

  • by danielmarkbruce on 10/31/2024, 2:24:24 AM

    Hilarious. Can be applied to sporting events...

  • by carloslagoa on 10/31/2024, 7:59:54 AM

    woah, super cool concept... what made you choose this 'future path(s)' and would you've done any others?

  • by martyz on 10/31/2024, 2:34:58 AM

    Love the concept - though in the versions where Trump loses, you should probably say 'Trump says system is rigged, or election stolen, etc.' -- we all know he'll never concede when he loses.

  • by janalsncm on 10/31/2024, 2:52:14 AM

    Interesting concept, but some of the pictures are a bit weird. There’s one with Biden and Harris in a practically romantic embrace.